How Predictable is Technological Progress?
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
How Predictable Is
JULY 2003 AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | A recent analysis of 12 statistical and dynamical models used for El Niño predictions finds that at the long (1–2 yr) and even medium (6–11 months) ranges there were “no models that provided useful and skillful forecasts for the entirety of the 1997/98 El Niño” (Landsea and Knaff 2000). Most of the models were wrong in predicting the timing of the ons...
متن کاملDiversity and Technological Progress
This paper proposes a tractable model to study the equilibrium diversity of technological progress and shows that equilibrium technological progress may exhibit too little diversity (too much conformity), in particular, foregoing socially bene cial investments in alternativetechnologies that will be used at some point in the future. The presence of future innovations that will replace current...
متن کاملis suicide predictable?
background: the current study aimed to test the hypothesis: is suicide predictable? and try to classify the predictive factors in multiple suicide attempts. methods: a cross-sectional study was administered to 223 multiple attempters, women who came to a medical poison centre after a suicide attempt. the participants were young, poor, and single. a logistic regression analiysis was used to clas...
متن کاملThe loci of evolution: how predictable is genetic evolution?
Is genetic evolution predictable? Evolutionary developmental biologists have argued that, at least for morphological traits, the answer is a resounding yes. Most mutations causing morphological variation are expected to reside in the cis-regulatory, rather than the coding, regions of developmental genes. This "cis-regulatory hypothesis" has recently come under attack. In this review, we first d...
متن کاملHow predictable is ASR confidence in dialog applications?
ASR confidence is a metric that reflects, to a large extent, the conditions under which a recognition task is being carried out as well as the reliability of the result. Because of this, ASR confidence constitutes a potentially useful feature in frameworks that attempt to asses the state of a dialog. In this paper we evaluate the predictability of ASR confidence based on knowledge of previously...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2015
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2566810